BTP R4 · 2026-10-02
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find BTP R4 · 2026-10-02 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#1 #2 #4)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#1MANNERISMEP
- C2#2CHANTICLEERE
- C3#4DAVE DID ITEP
- C4#5GALENEP
- C5#3PINK MOONC
- C6#6PURSE SNATCHERC
Honest pace among #1 MANNERISM and #2 CHANTICLEER and #4 DAVE DID IT. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #5 GALENE · hurts #1 MANNERISM, #2 CHANTICLEER, #4 DAVE DID IT
Pressure: #1 MANNERISM and #2 CHANTICLEER and #4 DAVE DID IT hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #5 GALENE · hurts #1 MANNERISM, #2 CHANTICLEER, #4 DAVE DID IT
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#3 PINK MOON, #6 PURSE SNATCHER).
Helps #3 PINK MOON, #6 PURSE SNATCHER · hurts #1 MANNERISM, #2 CHANTICLEER, #4 DAVE DID IT
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | PINK MOONGONZALEZ SANTIAGO | 2.5 | C | Rising figs3rd start cycleTag dropTop last figSame trip2026-09-05 SKY 4f 48.00 B MT ft bullet 1/17; 2026-08-07 SKY 4f 48.00 Bg MT ft 3/9 · barn: same as last | fClm16000n2l → Clm 7500n2l | NAVARRETE ANNA | Favorite |
| 5 | GALENENICHOLLS MIA | 3.0 | P | Same trip2026-06-24 TTC 3f 37.40 B MT ft 3/6; 2026-05-29 TTC 3f 38.20 B MT ft 13/28 · barn: same as last | fClm7500n2l → Clm 7500n2l | WOJCZYNSKI JUSTIN | field |
| 4 | DAVE DID ITJIMENEZ CARLOS | 3.5 | EP | Same trip2026-07-13 BTP 3f 36.60 B MT ft bullet 1/4; 2026-01-07 TAM 5f 61.80 B MT ft bullet 1/6 · barn: same as last | Clm7500n2l → Clm 7500n2l | ALESSI JAMES | field |
| 2 | CHANTICLEERRODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO | 4.5 | E | Same trip2026-05-15 HUF 4f 54.00 B MT ft 1/3; 2026-05-07 HUF 4f 54.20 B MT ft 1/1 · barn: same as last | Clm7500n2l → Clm 7500n2l | GRANITZ ANTHONY J | field |
| 6 | PURSE SNATCHERCORREA YARMARIE L | 4.0 | C | Rising figs3rd start cycleLed lastSame trip2026-08-15 SKY 5f 62.80 B MT ft 9/10; 2026-08-07 SKY 5f 61.80 B MT ft 3/7 · barn: same as last | fMd7500 → Clm 7500n2l | NAVARRETE ANNA | primed |
| 1 | MANNERISMCASIQUE UBARDO | 10.0 | EP | Rising figsLed lastSame trip2026-07-17 CNL 4f 49.00 B MT ft 3/13; 2026-07-10 CNL 3f 37.00 B MT ft 4/11 · barn: same as last | Md7500 → Clm 7500n2l | OCHOA GERARD | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEBTP R4 · 2026-10-02 · Turf 1100y · Clm 7500n2l
- SHAPEWall of early speed (#1 #2 #4) on a strong speed/inside bias; closers need a meltdown they cannot count on
- CHALKFavorite#3 PINK MOON · short (2.5 ML) · closer who needs the duel to empty; model edge near zero; no overlay
- LEANWinner call#3 PINK MOON · best fig in field, class drop, 3rd-start cycle — likeliest winner if speed collapses as bias says it won't
- PRIMED#6 PURSE SNATCHER (rising figs +13, 3rd start cycle, led last) — C-only path, no overlay
- PRICEnone
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — no non-chalk overlay; primed horse is C-only and model is underwater
- KILLSpeed bias holds and one of the EP horses (especially #1 MANNERISM from the inside rail) wires them; or PURSE SNATCHER leads and they never catch her
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, going condition (firm vs soft), rider changes
Why
Turf sprint at BTP on a speed-and-inside-biased track, claiming restricted field of six with moderate-to-high volatility given three speed horses likely to collide. The chalk (#3 PINK MOON, 2.5 ML) fires out of a wall of early speed that should melt — she is a closer who projects to the back and inherits if the duel empties, but the model shows no overlay and the sheet rec is PASS on non-chalk overlays. The only primed horse is #6 PURSE SNATCHER (rising figs +13, third start of cycle, led last on dirt), but she is also a closer at post 6 with a negative signal, negative zPace, no turf overlay, and a C-only pace path — she wins in scenario C only, not A or B.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | PINK MOON | 2.5 | 23.2% | 24.2% | +1.0% | 0.14 | C | favoriteRising figs3rd start cycleTag dropTop last figSame trip | — |
| 5 | GALENE | 3.0 | 20.3% | 20.2% | -0.1% | -0.05 | P | Same trip | — |
| 4 | DAVE DID IT | 3.5 | 18.1% | 17.9% | -0.2% | -0.06 | EP | Same trip | — |
| 2 | CHANTICLEER | 4.5 | 14.8% | 15.8% | +1.0% | 0.23 | E | Same trip | — |
| 6 | PURSE SNATCHER | 4.0 | 16.3% | 13.5% | -2.7% | -0.76 | C | Rising figs3rd start cycleLed lastSame trip | — |
| 1 | MANNERISM | 10.0 | 7.4% | 8.4% | +1.0% | 0.49 | EP | Rising figsLed lastSame trip | — |