DED R9 · 2026-10-10
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Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#5 #4 #3 #7 #6)
Pressure extreme. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#5AY AY RONE
- C2#4CAJUNSMORESE
- C3#3PROMISE ME MONEYE
- C4#7SASSI ROYALEP
- C5#6AZTECA MIAEP
- C6#1YALLA VAMOSP
- C7#12TUJAQUESS
- C8#9EL GANSITOS
- C9#10ZONGS TO BLAMES
- C10#11UNCLE EUGENEUU
- C11#8KING JULESC
- C12#2POPAS PRIDEC
Honest pace among #5 AY AY RON and #4 CAJUNSMORES and #3 PROMISE ME MONEY and #7 SASSI ROYAL and #6 AZTECA MIA. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #1 YALLA VAMOS, #12 TUJAQUES, #9 EL GANSITO, #10 ZONGS TO BLAME · hurts #5 AY AY RON, #4 CAJUNSMORES, #3 PROMISE ME MONEY, #7 SASSI ROYAL, #6 AZTECA MIA
Pressure: #5 AY AY RON and #4 CAJUNSMORES and #3 PROMISE ME MONEY and #7 SASSI ROYAL and #6 AZTECA MIA hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #1 YALLA VAMOS, #12 TUJAQUES, #9 EL GANSITO, #10 ZONGS TO BLAME · hurts #5 AY AY RON, #4 CAJUNSMORES, #3 PROMISE ME MONEY, #7 SASSI ROYAL, #6 AZTECA MIA
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#12 TUJAQUES, #9 EL GANSITO, #10 ZONGS TO BLAME, #8 KING JULES, #2 POPAS PRIDE).
Helps #12 TUJAQUES, #9 EL GANSITO, #10 ZONGS TO BLAME, #8 KING JULES, #2 POPAS PRIDE · hurts #5 AY AY RON, #4 CAJUNSMORES, #3 PROMISE ME MONEY, #7 SASSI ROYAL, #6 AZTECA MIA
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YALLA VAMOSHERNANDEZ COLBY J | 3.0 | P | Rising figsTag dropLed lastTop last figTop last paceSame trip2026-09-08 CCT 3f 37.00 B MT ft 4/23; 2026-07-14 CCT 4f 50.80 B MT my 4/9 · barn: same as last | Md12500 → Md 10000 | BOURGEOIS KEITH | Favorite |
| 7 | SASSI ROYALPOMPELL T L | 3.5 | EP | Led lastSame trip2026-10-02 DED 3f 39.00 B MT ft 9/19; 2026-04-17 EVD 3f 37.40 B MT ft 7/15 · barn: same as last | sMd20000 → Md 10000 | THOMAS LEE | field |
| 8 | KING JULESBARRERA ELIO J | 5.0 | C | Trouble lastSame trip2026-10-03 DED 4f 54.40 B MT ft 74/76; 2026-09-26 DED 4f 53.80 B MT ft 60/68 · barn: same as last | sMd5000 → Md 10000 | CANO JUAN MUNOZ | field |
| 3 | PROMISE ME MONEYBIRZER A E | 6.0 | E | Tag dropSame trip2026-10-01 DED 4f 52.00 B MT ft 27/49; 2026-09-18 EVD 4f 49.20 B MT ft 7/33 · barn: same as last | Md12500 → Md 10000 | GELNER JAYDE J | field |
| 4 | CAJUNSMORESLOZADA CARLOS | 8.0 | E | Rising figsLed lastSame trip2026-07-13 LAD 4f 50.20 B MT ft 16/36; 2026-07-06 LAD 4f 50.20 B MT ft 5/11 · barn: same as last | sMd10000 → Md 10000 | LARA JORGE | field |
| 2 | POPAS PRIDERAMIREZ JULIO JR | 8.0 | C | Rising figsLed lastSame trip2026-06-12 EVD 3f 36.40 B MT ft bullet 1/16; 2026-03-20 EVD 3f 37.60 Bg MT ft 6/16 · barn: same as last | Md10000 → Md 10000 | ROMERO MARKEL D | field |
| 6 | AZTECA MIAROMAN KEVIN | 10.0 | EP | Rising figsMSW → MCLSame trip2026-04-11 EVD 4f 51.20 Bg MT ft 34/61; 2026-03-27 EVD 3f 37.60 Bg MT ft 5/17 · barn: same as last | MdSpWt → Md 10000 | GONZALEZ ISAI V | field |
| 12 | TUJAQUESPOMPELL T L | 12.0 | S | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-29 CCT 4f 52.20 B MT ft 61/69; 2026-09-15 CCT 4f 49.60 B MT ft 5/50 · barn: same as last | sMd20000 → Md 10000 | BRINKMAN BRETT | field |
| 5 | AY AY RONVARGAS JUAN P | 15.0 | E | Led lastSame trip2026-09-26 LAD 3f 37.20 B MT ft 2/4; 2026-09-19 LAD 3f 37.00 B MT ft bullet 1/6 · barn: same as last | Md5000 → Md 10000 | WITT ERNIE II | field |
| 9 | EL GANSITOSANTIAGO EDWARD | 15.0 | S | Tag dropSame trip2026-09-26 DED 4f 52.60 B MT ft 52/68; 2026-09-18 DED 4f 49.40 B MT ft 3/6 · barn: same as last | Md20000 → Md 10000 | WEST HENRY | field |
| 10 | ZONGS TO BLAMEALVAREZ MISAEL | 20.0 | S | 3rd start cycleSame trip2026-10-03 DED 3f 38.60 B MT ft 8/23; 2026-07-18 EVD 4f 49.20 B MT ft 3/38 · barn: same as last | Md5000 → Md 10000 | DISON PHILLIP MARK | field |
| 11 | UNCLE EUGENEARANA KELVIN | 20.0 | U | Trouble lastSame trip2026-09-29 DED 4f 52.00 Bg MT ft 3/22; 2026-09-19 DED 3f 37.20 B MT ft bullet 1/22 · barn: same as last | sMd10000 → Md 10000 | AVERETT RONNIE | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEDED R9 · 2026-10-10 · Dirt 1100y · Md 10000
- SHAPEWall of early speed (#5 #4 #3 #7 #6) sets up a genuine duel; pace collapse likely; stalkers and closers (#12 #9 #10 #8 #2) inherit in Scenario B/C but none carry figures to trust at a price
- CHALKFavorite#1 YALLA VAMOS · solid · top fig, top E1, class drop, led last, rising figs (69 vs 48 prior) — only plausible winner, just not a bet at ML 3
- LEANWinner call#1 YALLA VAMOS
- PRIMEDnone
- PRICEno price overlays (brief confirms zero non-chalk overlays)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILL#1 gets hooked in the duel and empties; a deeper closer like #12 TUJAQUES or #8 KING JULES inherits — neither priced as an overlay
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint in a cheap maiden claimer at DED draws a 12-horse field with extreme pace volatility — five early types guaranteeing a genuine duel. The chalk is #1 YALLA VAMOS (ML 3), a class-dropper with the top figure and top early pace in the field who sat in a speed duel last out and showed the best recent number (69) by a wide margin, making it solid at the price despite that price being too short to play. The brief flags no primed non-chalk horse — the model shows zero price overlays and the one candidate with a path in A/B is the favorite itself.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YALLA VAMOS | 3.0 | 18.0% | 21.8% | +3.9% | 1.06 | P | favoriteRising figsTag dropLed lastTop last figTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 7 | SASSI ROYAL | 3.5 | 16.0% | 15.7% | -0.2% | 0.22 | EP | Led lastSame trip | — |
| 8 | KING JULES | 5.0 | 12.0% | 11.8% | -0.2% | 0.22 | C | Trouble lastSame trip | — |
| 3 | PROMISE ME MONEY | 6.0 | 10.3% | 9.4% | -0.9% | -0.07 | E | Tag dropSame trip | — |
| 4 | CAJUNSMORES | 8.0 | 8.0% | 8.8% | +0.8% | 0.65 | E | Rising figsLed lastSame trip | — |
| 2 | POPAS PRIDE | 8.0 | 8.0% | 7.5% | -0.5% | 0.00 | C | Rising figsLed lastSame trip | — |
| 6 | AZTECA MIA | 10.0 | 6.5% | 6.1% | -0.5% | -0.01 | EP | Rising figsMSW → MCLSame trip | — |
| 12 | TUJAQUES | 12.0 | 5.5% | 5.5% | +0.0% | 0.29 | S | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 5 | AY AY RON | 15.0 | 4.5% | 5.0% | +0.5% | 0.68 | E | Led lastSame trip | — |
| 9 | EL GANSITO | 15.0 | 4.5% | 3.8% | -0.7% | -0.36 | S | Tag dropSame trip | — |
| 10 | ZONGS TO BLAME | 20.0 | 3.4% | 2.5% | -1.0% | -1.05 | S | 3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 11 | UNCLE EUGENE | 20.0 | 3.4% | 2.1% | -1.3% | -1.63 | U | Trouble lastSame trip | — |