LRL R4 · 2026-10-10
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find LRL R4 · 2026-10-10 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Two-speed duel risk (#3 vs #7)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#3CROSS OF VALOREP
- C2#7DIVULGEEP
- C3#6IRISH BANBAC
- C4#4YAU MAJESTYC
- C5#2REHOBOTH AVENUEC
- C6#5WATCH ME SPARKLES
- C7#1SECRET OAKSC
Honest pace among #3 CROSS OF VALOR and #7 DIVULGE. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #5 WATCH ME SPARKLE · hurts #3 CROSS OF VALOR, #7 DIVULGE
Pressure: #3 CROSS OF VALOR and #7 DIVULGE hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #5 WATCH ME SPARKLE · hurts #3 CROSS OF VALOR, #7 DIVULGE
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#6 IRISH BANBA, #4 YAU MAJESTY, #2 REHOBOTH AVENUE, #5 WATCH ME SPARKLE, #1 SECRET OAKS).
Helps #6 IRISH BANBA, #4 YAU MAJESTY, #2 REHOBOTH AVENUE, #5 WATCH ME SPARKLE, #1 SECRET OAKS · hurts #3 CROSS OF VALOR, #7 DIVULGE
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | IRISH BANBARODRIGUEZ JAMIE | 0.8 | C | 2nd off layoffClass dropTop last fig2026-10-03 PRX 4f 47.60 Bg MT ft 12/55; 2026-09-19 PRX 4f 48.80 B MT ft 6/30 · barn: same as last | fsAlw41820n1x → OClm 25000 | NESS JAMIE | Favorite |
| 4 | YAU MAJESTYBRICENO LEANDRO M | 4.0 | C | Class dropTop last paceSame trip2026-10-01 DEL 4f 49.40 B MT ft 10/21; 2026-09-25 DEL 4f 51.00 B MT ft 44/48 · barn: same as last | frAlw90300n1x → OClm 25000 | GORHAM MICHAEL E | pace + drop |
| 3 | CROSS OF VALORSANCHEZ MYCHEL J | 5.0 | EP | Trouble lastClass dropSame trip2026-10-06 LRL 4f 50.00 B MT ft 14/18; 2026-08-09 LRL 4f 49.00 B MT ft 24/85 · barn: same as last | frAlw87900n1x → OClm 25000 | ALLEN A FERRIS III | primed |
| 2 | REHOBOTH AVENUEBURNHAM MATILDA | 10.0 | C | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-05 LRL 4f 48.60 B MT ft 11/33; 2026-08-23 LRL 4f 49.80 B MT ft 22/43 · barn: same as last | fOC35000 → OClm 25000 | KEE WILLIE J | primed |
| 5 | WATCH ME SPARKLEKARAMANOS H A | 8.0 | S | Rising figsSame trip2026-08-11 CNL 4f 50.20 B MT ft 1/2; 2026-05-03 LRL 4f 51.40 B MT ft 57/65 · barn: same as last | fMd16000 → OClm 25000 | ALLEN A FERRIS III | field |
| 7 | DIVULGECRUZ ANGEL | 15.0 | EP | Rising figs2026-09-19 LRL 4f 49.40 B MT ft 31/69; 2026-08-29 LRL 4f 50.00 B MT ft 16/23 · barn: same as last | fOC16000 → OClm 25000 | MCFARLANE BRANDON | field |
| 1 | SECRET OAKSLOPEZ CARLOS EDUARDO | 12.0 | C | 2nd off layoff2026-10-02 PEN 3f 34.60 B MT ft 2/10; 2026-09-19 PEN 3f 35.80 B MT ft 4/9 · barn: same as last | fOC16000 → OClm 25000 | KREISER TIMOTHY C | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACELRL R4 · 2026-10-10 · Dirt 1760y · OClm 25000
- SHAPETwo-EP duel (#3 vs #7) sets up closers; bias favors rail closers; pace helps chalk
- CHALKFavorite#6 IRISH BANBA · solid · top fig, top signal, legitimate 2nd-off-layoff drop from ALW, rail-closer in a closer/rail race — opposable on price only, not on shape
- LEANWinner call#6 IRISH BANBA
- PRIMED#3 CROSS OF VALOR (trouble last + class drop — but low fig, EP into a duel, no overlay); #2 REHOBOTH AVENUE (rising figs + 2nd off layoff — but turf-to-dirt, trainer 4.8% dirt, figs below chalk)
- PRICEno price (model returns zero non-chalk overlays; sheet rec is PASS)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLChalk fires clean on the lead if the duel dissolves; #2's turf-to-dirt switch and sub-70 dirt fig are live concerns at any price
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, track condition at post time, rider changes
Why
Dirt route at OClm 25000, seven-horse field with a closer/rail bias and no price overlays printed by the model — moderate-to-high volatility given the class drops and layoff returns mixing with weak figs. The two EP types (#3, #7) project a pace duel that should set up the closers, but the model's non-chalk overlay list is empty and chalk #6 IRISH BANBA at 4-5 owns the top fig, the signal, and a legitimate 2nd-off-layoff pattern. #2 REHOBOTH AVENUE is primed (rising figs +19, 2nd off layoff) and stalks from post 2 on the rail, but last two starts are on turf and the dirt figs (68–74) still trail the chalk's ceiling by a wide margin. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Pace + drop
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | IRISH BANBA | 0.8 | 44.0% | 52.7% | +8.7% | 1.25 | C | favorite2nd off layoffClass dropTop last fig | — |
| 4 | YAU MAJESTY | 4.0 | 15.8% | 13.8% | -2.0% | -0.01 | C | Class dropTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 3 | CROSS OF VALOR | 5.0 | 13.2% | 11.2% | -2.0% | -0.13 | EP | Trouble lastClass dropSame trip | — |
| 2 | REHOBOTH AVENUE | 10.0 | 7.2% | 7.0% | -0.1% | 0.44 | C | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 5 | WATCH ME SPARKLE | 8.0 | 8.8% | 6.8% | -2.0% | -0.49 | S | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 7 | DIVULGE | 15.0 | 4.9% | 4.4% | -0.5% | 0.07 | EP | Rising figs | — |
| 1 | SECRET OAKS | 12.0 | 6.1% | 4.0% | -2.1% | -1.14 | C | 2nd off layoff | — |