MNR R6 · 2026-09-28
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find MNR R6 · 2026-09-28 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Lone speed #8 WHISKEY SHOT
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#5MONTERREYS
- C2#9HANDSOME FOXP
- C3#8WHISKEY SHOTE
- C4#2KLIMTSTERS
- C5#4HIDDEN FAVORS
- C6#3SOUPER JUSTIFIEDC
- C7#6MEXICALI MIKEP
- C8#7SCUBAC
- C9#1YEMREHANAKRISTOSC
#8 WHISKEY SHOT controls. Closers need a melt that does not come.
Helps #8 WHISKEY SHOT · hurts #5 MONTERREY, #2 KLIMTSTER, #4 HIDDEN FAVOR, #3 SOUPER JUSTIFIED, #7 SCUBA, #1 YEMREHANAKRISTOS
Someone presses #8 WHISKEY SHOT. Soft-lead thesis dies.
Helps #9 HANDSOME FOX, #6 MEXICALI MIKE, #5 MONTERREY, #2 KLIMTSTER, #4 HIDDEN FAVOR · hurts #8 WHISKEY SHOT
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#5 MONTERREY, #2 KLIMTSTER, #4 HIDDEN FAVOR, #3 SOUPER JUSTIFIED, #7 SCUBA, #1 YEMREHANAKRISTOS).
Helps #5 MONTERREY, #2 KLIMTSTER, #4 HIDDEN FAVOR, #3 SOUPER JUSTIFIED, #7 SCUBA, #1 YEMREHANAKRISTOS · hurts #8 WHISKEY SHOT
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | HANDSOME FOXTAPARA BRANDON | 2.0 | P | Rising figsSame trip2026-07-05 PMM 4f 49.80 B MT ft 10/22; 2026-06-26 PMM 4f 49.40 Bg MT ft 10/19 · barn: same as last | Clm4000n2x → Clm 4000n2x | BERNARDINI JAY P | Favorite |
| 5 | MONTERREYBARRIOS RICARDO | 3.0 | S | Rising figsTop last paceSame trip2026-06-01 CT 4f 49.60 B MT ft 5/6; 2026-05-16 CT 4f 53.80 B MT ft 19/19 · barn: same as last | Clm4000n2x → Clm 4000n2x | JONES MICHAEL E JR | overlay |
| 8 | WHISKEY SHOTLEON JOSE A | 5.0 | E | Rising figs3rd start cycleTag dropBarn changeSame trip2026-08-02 ELP 5f 61.40 B MT ft bullet 1/13; 2026-07-25 ELP 4f 50.20 B MT ft 33/42 · barn: change vs ASMUSSEN STEVEN M | Clm7500n2l → Clm 4000n2x | SILVA JUAN PABLO | primed |
| 3 | SOUPER JUSTIFIEDRAMGEET A R | 7.0 | C | Rising figsSame trip2026-04-29 MNR 4f 50.40 B D MT ft 11/17; 2026-04-20 MNR 3f 37.20 B MT ft 3/5 · barn: same as last | Clm4000n2x → Clm 4000n2x | RAMGEET TINA | field |
| 4 | HIDDEN FAVORBATISTA LUIS ALBERTO | 6.0 | S | Same trip2026-07-11 CT 3f 37.40 B MT ft 11/21; 2026-04-24 CT 4f 48.60 B MT ft 3/13 · barn: same as last | Clm4000n2x → Clm 4000n2x | BAYLEY RANDY | field |
| 1 | YEMREHANAKRISTOSPAGAN MICHAEL Y | 10.0 | C | Tag dropSame trip2026-09-07 MNR 4f 49.40 Bg MT ft 4/7; 2026-06-23 MNR 4f 51.20 B MT ft 13/17 · barn: same as last | Clm15000n2l → Clm 4000n2x | STANSBURY JULIE | field |
| 6 | MEXICALI MIKENEGRON LUIS | 10.0 | P | Barn changeSame trip2026-08-29 CT 3f 36.60 B MT ft 4/25; 2026-06-20 CT 3f 37.20 B MT ft 15/21 · barn: change vs FARRIOR ANTHONY | Clm4000n2x → Clm 4000n2x | BERNARDINI JAY P | field |
| 2 | KLIMTSTERGONZALEZ KEVIN | 15.0 | S | Rising figs2026-06-09 MNR 4f 52.40 B MT ft 15/18; 2026-04-11 MNR 4f 49.60 B MT ft 5/13 · barn: same as last | Clm4000n2x → Clm 4000n2x | AGUIRRE JUAN R | field |
| 7 | SCUBADIAZ R | 12.0 | C | Rising figsSame trip2026-06-14 MNR 4f 52.00 B MT ft 16/17; 2026-05-15 MNR 4f 50.60 B MT ft 5/7 · barn: same as last | Clm4000n3x → Clm 4000n2x | AGUIRRE JUAN R | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEMNR R6 · 2026-09-28 · Dirt 1760y · Clm 4000n2x
- SHAPELone speed (#8 WHISKEY SHOT) from outside post on rail-biased track; pressure moderate; scenario B flips the race to stalkers
- CHALKFavorite#9 HANDSOME FOX · solid · rising fig (64 vs 61), same-trip route, cleaner post, but 2-1 is auto-pass as a ticket
- LEANWinner call#9 HANDSOME FOX · most likely winner, pace path in A and B, best recent fig in field at this level
- PRIMED#8 WHISKEY SHOT (rising figs, 3rd-start cycle, tag drop, barn change — 5 flags — but outside post on a rail-bias track undercuts the lone-speed thesis; C-scenario live, not a win bet)
- PRICE#5 MONTERREY · edge 0.047 · model 0.233 vs ML implied 0.250 — top LP in field (81), fig 72 last out, stalker with route-to-route trip, path in B and C
- PLAYPrice ticket#5 MONTERREY · win · min odds 3-1 (pass if board falls below 3-1)
- KILL#8 WHISKEY SHOT clears cheap and gate-to-wire solo on a rail that suddenly rides fast; or #9 HANDSOME FOX presses and #5 MONTERREY gets swamped wide without cover
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches post-ingest, weather/track condition update, rider changes not on PP line
Why
Dirt route at the $4,000 claiming level, moderate-to-high volatility given a deep-class-drop shipper controlling the pace from post 8 against an inside-favoring, rail-biased MNR track. #8 WHISKEY SHOT is lone speed from a bad post on a rail-biased strip—the shape cleans up in scenario A but the bias actively works against him, making scenario B (pressure from #9 HANDSOME FOX or #6 MEXICALI MIKE) meaningful; chalk #9 HANDSOME FOX at 2-1 is solid, posting back at the same level with a rising fig and a cleaner post-9-on-a-right-rail read—but 2-1 is chalk and a pass as a ticket. #5 MONTERREY is the one primed price horse: fig 72 last out (top in field), LP 81 (top late pace in field), same-trip route-to-route, stalker style that fits scenario B's pressure flow and inherits scenario C, with the model showing a genuine overlay at 3-1 ML—the path exists in B and C, and 3-1 is the minimum. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | HANDSOME FOX | 2.0 | 24.9% | 25.1% | +0.2% | 0.28 | P | favoriteRising figsSame trip | — |
| 5 | MONTERREY | 3.0 | 18.7% | 23.3% | +4.7% | 1.14 | S | Rising figsTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 8 | WHISKEY SHOT | 5.0 | 12.4% | 11.4% | -1.0% | -0.09 | E | Rising figs3rd start cycleTag dropBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 3 | SOUPER JUSTIFIED | 7.0 | 9.3% | 10.8% | +1.5% | 0.84 | C | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 4 | HIDDEN FAVOR | 6.0 | 10.7% | 9.3% | -1.4% | -0.32 | S | Same trip | — |
| 1 | YEMREHANAKRISTOS | 10.0 | 6.8% | 6.2% | -0.6% | -0.10 | C | Tag dropSame trip | — |
| 6 | MEXICALI MIKE | 10.0 | 6.8% | 5.2% | -1.6% | -0.83 | P | Barn changeSame trip | — |
| 2 | KLIMTSTER | 15.0 | 4.7% | 4.4% | -0.3% | 0.03 | S | Rising figs | — |
| 7 | SCUBA | 12.0 | 5.7% | 4.3% | -1.5% | -0.95 | C | Rising figsSame trip | — |