MNR R8 · 2026-09-30
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find MNR R8 · 2026-09-30 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#3 #10 #7 #6)
Pressure extreme. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#3HEROS MANE
- C2#10ALFIE SOLOMONSE
- C3#7ACE VENTURAE
- C4#6BLUE SPEARMANEP
- C5#1JULIES FERRARIP
- C6#8BAZOOP
- C7#11BINGINGS
- C8#2TIMBERRY TIDDLERS
- C9#9ROAD TO STARDOMC
- C10#5CHRISTENSENC
- C11#4MAJOR TOMC
Honest pace among #3 HEROS MAN and #10 ALFIE SOLOMONS and #7 ACE VENTURA and #6 BLUE SPEARMAN. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #1 JULIES FERRARI, #8 BAZOO, #11 BINGING, #2 TIMBERRY TIDDLER · hurts #3 HEROS MAN, #10 ALFIE SOLOMONS, #7 ACE VENTURA, #6 BLUE SPEARMAN
Pressure: #3 HEROS MAN and #10 ALFIE SOLOMONS and #7 ACE VENTURA and #6 BLUE SPEARMAN hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #1 JULIES FERRARI, #8 BAZOO, #11 BINGING, #2 TIMBERRY TIDDLER · hurts #3 HEROS MAN, #10 ALFIE SOLOMONS, #7 ACE VENTURA, #6 BLUE SPEARMAN
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#11 BINGING, #2 TIMBERRY TIDDLER, #9 ROAD TO STARDOM, #5 CHRISTENSEN, #4 MAJOR TOM).
Helps #11 BINGING, #2 TIMBERRY TIDDLER, #9 ROAD TO STARDOM, #5 CHRISTENSEN, #4 MAJOR TOM · hurts #3 HEROS MAN, #10 ALFIE SOLOMONS, #7 ACE VENTURA, #6 BLUE SPEARMAN
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | HEROS MANBARRIOS RICARDO | 2.0 | E | Class dropTop last paceSame trip2026-04-11 MNR 5f 61.00 B MT ft 2/7; 2026-03-22 MNR 4f 49.00 B MT ft 6/17 · barn: same as last | sAlw20460nc → Clm 4000n2x | TREHARNE DAVE | Favorite |
| 10 | ALFIE SOLOMONSGONZALEZ KEVIN | 4.0 | E | Rising figsLed lastSame trip2026-04-15 MNR 3f 36.80 B MT ft 4/21; 2026-04-07 MNR 3f 39.40 B MT ft 14/14 · barn: same as last | Clm3200n1x → Clm 4000n2x | CAIN CRYSTAL | field |
| 11 | BINGINGLEON JOSE A | 4.5 | S | Tag dropSame trip2026-07-19 MNR 4f 51.20 B MT ft 9/12; 2026-06-30 LAD 4f 51.00 B MT ft 18/23 · barn: same as last | Clm12500b → Clm 4000n2x | SILVA JUAN PABLO | field |
| 8 | BAZOOBATISTA LUIS ALBERTO | 5.0 | P | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-08-14 MNR 4f 48.60 B MT ft 2/8; 2026-06-05 MNR 4f 48.80 B MT ft 2/8 · barn: same as last | Clm4000 → Clm 4000n2x | CLOUSTON EDWARD | field |
| 6 | BLUE SPEARMANTAPARA LUIS | 7.0 | EP | Rising figs2nd off layoffLed lastTop last figSame trip2026-04-28 MNR 5f 63.40 B D MT sl 1/1; 2026-04-12 MNR 4f 49.40 B MT ft 3/15 · barn: same as last | Clm4000n3x → Clm 4000n2x | ROBILLARD JULIE | primed |
| 7 | ACE VENTURALEON JOSE A | 8.0 | E | 3rd start cycleSame trip2026-03-02 GP 4f 50.20 B MT ft 4/8; 2026-02-09 GP 3f 38.20 B MT ft 4/6 · barn: same as last | Clm4000 → Clm 4000n2x | LOPEZ OLMEDA RACHEL LYNN | field |
| 5 | CHRISTENSENPAGAN MICHAEL Y | 10.0 | C | Same trip2026-09-12 MNR 3f 36.40 B MT ft bullet 1/4; 2026-07-20 MNR 4f 49.40 Bg MT ft bullet 1/8 · barn: same as last | Clm4000n2x → Clm 4000n2x | CORDERO-LOPEZ ALEXIS | field |
| 1 | JULIES FERRARIPARKER D L | 12.0 | P | Same trip2026-08-31 MNR 4f 50.20 B MT ft 2/3; 2026-06-16 MNR 3f 36.80 B MT ft bullet 1/5 · barn: same as last | Clm4000n2x → Clm 4000n2x | WELSH GARY R | field |
| 9 | ROAD TO STARDOMGREENIDGE ELIJAH | 15.0 | C | Rising figsTag dropSame trip2026-06-14 MNR 4f 49.40 B MT ft 5/17; 2026-05-05 MNR 3f 38.60 B MT ft 11/19 · barn: same as last | Clm5000n2x → Clm 4000n2x | POOLE JAMI C | field |
| 2 | TIMBERRY TIDDLERRIVERA L R | 15.0 | S | Same trip2026-05-09 MNR 4f 53.00 B MT ft 9/9; 2026-05-01 MNR 3f 39.60 B MT ft 8/9 · barn: same as last | Clm4000n2x → Clm 4000n2x | BAIRD J MICHAEL | field |
| 4 | MAJOR TOMNEGRON LUIS | 20.0 | C | Class drop2026-06-23 MNR 4f 54.00 B MT ft 17/17; 2026-05-08 MNR 4f 53.00 B MT ft 24/25 · barn: same as last | Alw4000s → Clm 4000n2x | BERNARDINI JAY P | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEMNR R8 · 2026-09-30 · D 1210y Clm 4000n2x
- SHAPEWall of 4 early/pressers (#3 #10 #7 #6) → duel/meltdown likely; closer-inside bias; outside posts 0% in lookback
- CHALKFavorite#3 HEROS MAN · opposable · declining figs (82→61), entering a four-way duel from post 3, class drop looks like a retirement tour not a send
- LEANWinner call#6 BLUE SPEARMAN · primed off layoff, top fig in field (84), led and drew off last, figures the honest pace collapses in front of her
- PRIMED#6 BLUE SPEARMAN [rising_figs, second_off_layoff, led_last, top_last_fig, same_trip]
- PRICEnone (no non-chalk overlay clears the model; BLUE SPEARMAN edge 0.011 does not meet overlay=true threshold)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — sheet rec is PASS, no non-chalk overlay, BLUE SPEARMAN is primed but not a model overlay; paying 7-1 on a horse the model does not flag as an overlay at this class level in a chaotic field is not a ticket
- KILLPace duel fails to materialize (lone speed clears), #3 HEROS MAN steals soft fractions wire-to-wire; any scratch that removes a speed horse changes the map
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches post-ingest, weather/track variant, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint, Clm 4000n2x, field of 11 at Mountaineer — moderate-to-high volatility with a crowded cheap claimer. Four early/pressers (#3, #10, #7, #6) project a wall of speed that figures to cook itself; the bias log shows closers winning 50% and outside posts (8+) going 0-for-the-lookback, so the rail-biased track will punish wide runners while the pace duel sets up stalkers on the inside — chalk #3 HEROS MAN has the best pace figure but is dropping from allowance company, figures are declining (82→68→61), and the bias/duel combo makes him opposable at 2-1. #6 BLUE SPEARMAN (ML 7) is the sheet's primed horse — five flags including top last fig (84), rising figs (+24), second off layoff, led last, same trip — but post 6 is a neutral middle draw in a race where the rail bias matters and outside posts are dead; the sheet shows overlay=false, so no price is officially on the page.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Pace + drop
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | HEROS MAN | 2.0 | 22.9% | 25.1% | +2.3% | 0.61 | E | favoriteClass dropTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 10 | ALFIE SOLOMONS | 4.0 | 13.7% | 14.0% | +0.3% | 0.32 | E | Rising figsLed lastSame trip | — |
| 11 | BINGING | 4.5 | 12.5% | 11.8% | -0.7% | 0.01 | S | Tag dropSame trip | — |
| 8 | BAZOO | 5.0 | 11.4% | 10.6% | -0.8% | -0.06 | P | 2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 6 | BLUE SPEARMAN | 7.0 | 8.6% | 9.7% | +1.1% | 0.71 | EP | Rising figs2nd off layoffLed lastTop last figSame trip | — |
| 7 | ACE VENTURA | 8.0 | 7.6% | 8.9% | +1.3% | 0.86 | E | 3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 5 | CHRISTENSEN | 10.0 | 6.2% | 5.3% | -1.0% | -0.45 | C | Same trip | — |
| 1 | JULIES FERRARI | 12.0 | 5.3% | 4.8% | -0.4% | -0.12 | P | Same trip | — |
| 9 | ROAD TO STARDOM | 15.0 | 4.3% | 4.0% | -0.3% | -0.09 | C | Rising figsTag dropSame trip | — |
| 2 | TIMBERRY TIDDLER | 15.0 | 4.3% | 3.6% | -0.7% | -0.50 | S | Same trip | — |
| 4 | MAJOR TOM | 20.0 | 3.3% | 2.2% | -1.0% | -1.30 | C | Class drop | — |