TDN R4 · 2026-10-07
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find TDN R4 · 2026-10-07 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Lone speed #5 MY PAISAN
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#5MY PAISANE
- C2#6DREAM BOYC
- C3#4EL CANELO ONEP
- C4#3SAMMYS HALOC
- C5#1BOAZS
- C6#2LUCKY JUULZC
#5 MY PAISAN controls. Closers need a melt that does not come.
Helps #5 MY PAISAN · hurts #6 DREAM BOY, #3 SAMMYS HALO, #1 BOAZ, #2 LUCKY JUULZ
Someone presses #5 MY PAISAN. Soft-lead thesis dies.
Helps #4 EL CANELO ONE, #1 BOAZ · hurts #5 MY PAISAN
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#6 DREAM BOY, #3 SAMMYS HALO, #1 BOAZ, #2 LUCKY JUULZ).
Helps #6 DREAM BOY, #3 SAMMYS HALO, #1 BOAZ, #2 LUCKY JUULZ · hurts #5 MY PAISAN
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | DREAM BOYFERNANDEZ VICTOR R | 2.0 | C | Rising figsBarn changeTop last figTop last pace2026-09-10 BTP 3f 35.20 B MT ft 1/2; 2026-07-30 BTP 4f 49.20 B MT ft bullet 1/4 · barn: change vs ORANTES YONI R | sMdSpWt → Alw 35800n2l | ZIELINSKI RICHARD | Favorite |
| 3 | SAMMYS HALOBARBARAN ERIK | 3.0 | C | Rising figs2026-04-21 TDN 4f 50.00 B MT ft 19/30; 2026-04-09 TDN 4f 49.00 B MT ft 5/14 · barn: same as last | sClm16000n2l → Alw 35800n2l | RADOSEVICH JEFF | field |
| 4 | EL CANELO ONEBRACHO JOSE A | 4.0 | P | —2026-06-05 TDN 4f 49.60 B MT ft 5/11; 2026-05-21 TDN 4f 50.00 B MT ft 16/30 · barn: same as last | sAlw35800n1x → Alw 35800n2l | JUAREZ-MENDOZA REY | field |
| 2 | LUCKY JUULZTAPARA LUIS | 5.0 | C | —2026-09-29 MNR 4f 50.40 B MT ft 5/8; 2026-08-04 MNR 4f 49.00 B MT ft bullet 1/12 · barn: same as last | Alw19400n2x → Alw 35800n2l | FLICK JULIA | field |
| 1 | BOAZSKERRETT JEFFERSON | 4.5 | S | 3rd start cycle2026-08-17 TDN 4f 50.40 B MT ft 12/14; 2026-08-08 TDN 3f 38.40 B MT gd 3/5 · barn: same as last | sAlw35800n1x → Alw 35800n2l | YODER SUSAN D | field |
| 5 | MY PAISANKEISER CHELSEY | 8.0 | E | —2026-07-19 TDN 3f 39.00 B MT ft 4/7; 2026-05-04 TDN 3f 39.60 B MT ft 9/9 · barn: same as last | sAlw35800n2l → Alw 35800n2l | CASALINOVA TINA | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACETDN R4 · 2026-10-07 · Dirt / 1760y / Alw 35800n2l
- SHAPELone speed (#5 MY PAISAN) moderate pressure; closers need a melt that may not come in Scenario A
- CHALKFavorite#6 DREAM BOY · usable but short · top fig and rising cycle, but 2-1 on a horse that must close into a clean pace and is stretching from sprints to a route for the first time with a brand-new barn
- LEANWinner call#6 DREAM BOY · best figure, best late pace, rising figs — if the pace softens even slightly he collects
- PRIMEDnone
- PRICEno price (zero non-chalk overlays)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILL#5 MY PAISAN gets loose on a clean lead and the fractions never get honest; closer field finds no target
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches post-ingest, weather, any rider changes
Why
Dirt route at N2L level, six-horse field, moderate volatility given chalk's sprint-to-route stretch and a lone-speed map that lives or dies on whether #5 gets loose. #6 DREAM BOY is clear chalk at 2-1, stepping up from maiden and switching to a new barn with rising figs, top field fig, and elite late pace (LP 92), but faces the pace-shape problem of being a closer in a lone-speed scenario where Scenario A never opens the door. No horse on the sheet prints 2+ ready flags without being chalk; the sheet carries zero non-chalk price overlays.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | DREAM BOY | 2.0 | 26.8% | 32.0% | +5.2% | 0.90 | C | favoriteRising figsBarn changeTop last figTop last pace | — |
| 3 | SAMMYS HALO | 3.0 | 20.1% | 21.3% | +1.2% | 0.44 | C | Rising figs | — |
| 4 | EL CANELO ONE | 4.0 | 16.1% | 14.6% | -1.5% | -0.20 | P | — | |
| 2 | LUCKY JUULZ | 5.0 | 13.4% | 13.1% | -0.3% | 0.11 | C | — | |
| 1 | BOAZ | 4.5 | 14.6% | 11.5% | -3.1% | -0.76 | S | 3rd start cycle | — |
| 5 | MY PAISAN | 8.0 | 8.9% | 7.5% | -1.4% | -0.49 | E | — |