DEL R7 · 2026-09-30
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find DEL R7 · 2026-09-30 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#4 #6 #2)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#4THEAE
- C2#6MAD FOR MADDYEP
- C3#2DIDNT IT RAINE
- C4#3VIOLETS CHARMS
- C5#1CASTAGNAS
- C6#5RIDGIEC
Honest pace among #4 THEA and #6 MAD FOR MADDY and #2 DIDNT IT RAIN. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #3 VIOLETS CHARM, #1 CASTAGNA · hurts #4 THEA, #6 MAD FOR MADDY, #2 DIDNT IT RAIN
Pressure: #4 THEA and #6 MAD FOR MADDY and #2 DIDNT IT RAIN hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #3 VIOLETS CHARM, #1 CASTAGNA · hurts #4 THEA, #6 MAD FOR MADDY, #2 DIDNT IT RAIN
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#3 VIOLETS CHARM, #1 CASTAGNA, #5 RIDGIE).
Helps #3 VIOLETS CHARM, #1 CASTAGNA, #5 RIDGIE · hurts #4 THEA, #6 MAD FOR MADDY, #2 DIDNT IT RAIN
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | MAD FOR MADDYBATISTA JOSE A | 1.6 | EP | Barn changeTop last paceSame trip2026-09-16 DEL 4f 49.00 B MT ft 2/12; 2026-09-08 DEL 4f 51.20 B MT ft 22/22 · barn: change vs PINO MICHAEL V | fOC16000n1x → OClm 32000 | GALLEGOS JOSE A | Favorite |
| 4 | THEALOPEZ PASCACIO | 2.0 | E | Same trip2026-09-16 MTH 4f 48.40 B MT ft 3/15; 2026-08-30 MTH 4f 49.80 B MT ft 42/94 · barn: same as last | fOC16000n1x → OClm 32000 | SCHULTZ LINDSAY | Favorite |
| 3 | VIOLETS CHARMRODRIGUEZ JAMIE | 3.0 | S | Class dropSame trip2026-07-12 DEL 4f 51.20 B MT ft 21/26; 2026-05-15 DEL 4f 50.40 B MT ft 21/31 · barn: same as last | fAlw53600n1x → OClm 32000 | DOWNING WILLIAM | field |
| 2 | DIDNT IT RAINCRUZ ANGEL | 6.0 | E | Rising figsClass dropLed lastSame trip2026-09-25 PEN 4f 48.60 B MT ft 11/34; 2026-08-01 PEN 4f 47.00 B MT ft bullet 1/20 · barn: same as last | fAlw35890n1x → OClm 32000 | KREISER TIMOTHY C | primed |
| 5 | RIDGIECHEMINAUD VINCENT | 10.0 | C | Rising figs2026-08-02 CNL 4f 50.80 B MT ft 55/62; 2026-07-24 CNL 5f 62.00 B MT ft 6/6 · barn: same as last | fOC25000 → OClm 32000 | BOWERSOCK MARIA | field |
| 1 | CASTAGNARIOS JESUS M | 12.0 | S | —2026-09-10 DEL 4f 49.00 B MT ft 4/17; 2026-04-11 TAM 4f 47.80 B MT ft 6/54 · barn: same as last | fOC30000 → OClm 32000 | MENDIETA ALEJANDRO OLAIS | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEDEL R7 · 2026-09-30 · Dirt 1760y OClm 32000
- SHAPEWall of early speed (#4 #6 #2) into a speed-biased track; honest-to-hot pace likely; stalkers #3 and #1 get the setup but carry weak signals
- CHALKFavorite#6 MAD FOR MADDY 1.6 · short / usable — top pace fig, barn change to a hot meet trainer, top LP in the field, but ML 1.6 is chalk and the model edge is thin; pace shape is against it in a three-way duel
- LEANWinner call#6 MAD FOR MADDY · best recent figures, highest zPace, top LP, route experience — survives the pace better than rivals only if she clears; chalk, so LEAN only
- PRIMED#2 DIDNT IT RAIN — rising figs (+10, last 82 vs prior 72), ALW class drop, led last at this exact trip, sharp bullet 5-weeks out; path exists only if she clears in Scenario A, which the wall of speed makes uncertain
- PRICEnone — no non-chalk overlays (both model overlays are chalk; #2 model edge 0.007 is negligible and below threshold)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLPace melts into a solo lead for one of the speed types and they coast; #3 VIOLETS CHARM's class drop from ALW produces a form reversal (won last but signal is 0.14, lowest in field); live tote shortens #2 below any usable number
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/surface condition morning of, rider changes
Why
Dirt route OClm 32000 at DEL, six-horse field with a speed-favoring track bias, moderate-to-high volatility given three early types who all need to fire. Three runners (#4, #6, #2) project to the front, creating an honest-to-hot pace that should bleed them and set up the stalkers, while chalk #6 MAD FOR MADDY and #4 THEA are both overlay-true by the model but are chalk by definition and run into each other. #2 DIDNT IT RAIN is the sheet's primed horse (rising figs +10, class drop from ALW, led last at this trip) but is a front-runner who must survive the same duel it helps create; at 6-1 ML it is the only non-chalk with a flag stack, yet the pace map puts it directly in the fire, and with no price overlays printed the sheet recommendation is PASS. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | MAD FOR MADDY | 1.6 | 30.1% | 32.7% | +2.6% | 0.77 | EP | favoriteBarn changeTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 4 | THEA | 2.0 | 26.1% | 28.5% | +2.5% | 0.80 | E | favoriteSame trip | — |
| 3 | VIOLETS CHARM | 3.0 | 19.6% | 18.2% | -1.4% | 0.14 | S | Class dropSame trip | — |
| 2 | DIDNT IT RAIN | 6.0 | 11.2% | 11.9% | +0.7% | 0.68 | E | Rising figsClass dropLed lastSame trip | — |
| 5 | RIDGIE | 10.0 | 7.1% | 4.9% | -2.2% | -1.03 | C | Rising figs | — |
| 1 | CASTAGNA | 12.0 | 6.0% | 3.8% | -2.2% | -1.35 | S | — |