closebeat
Start free
← RaceDay

MNR R4 · 2026-09-30

PASSD1210yPLAY passRace Simulator →MC Exotics →Expert handicap ↓Results →After the races
Bet now

Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find MNR R4 · 2026-09-30 on their board.

Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Sign in to run

Pace map

Lone speed #7 GIRL BYE

Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

  1. C1#7GIRL BYEEP
  2. C2#4ICE FLOEP
  3. C3#1YEARS AGOP
  4. C4#5COIN PURSES
  5. C5#2STOLEN KISSESS
  6. C6#6SECRET SEDUCTIONS
  7. C7#3SONADORC
A · Likely — expected flow

#7 GIRL BYE controls. Closers need a melt that does not come.

Helps #7 GIRL BYE · hurts #5 COIN PURSE, #2 STOLEN KISSES, #6 SECRET SEDUCTION, #3 SONADOR

B · Pressure — duel / honest

Someone presses #7 GIRL BYE. Soft-lead thesis dies.

Helps #4 ICE FLOE, #1 YEARS AGO, #5 COIN PURSE, #2 STOLEN KISSES, #6 SECRET SEDUCTION · hurts #7 GIRL BYE

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#5 COIN PURSE, #2 STOLEN KISSES, #6 SECRET SEDUCTION, #3 SONADOR).

Helps #5 COIN PURSE, #2 STOLEN KISSES, #6 SECRET SEDUCTION, #3 SONADOR · hurts #7 GIRL BYE

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#HorseMLStyleReadyClassBarnRole
7GIRL BYEYARANGA Y2.5EPRising figsTop last figTop last paceSame trip2026-04-18 MNR 3f 36.60 B MT ft bullet 1/9; 2025-04-26 TDN 3f 36.60 B MT ft bullet 1/5 · barn: same as lastfClm3200n2y → Clm 4000n1xFLETCHER JEFFFavorite
6SECRET SEDUCTIONMARTINEZ MIGUEL L3.0SSame trip2026-09-15 MNR 4f 52.40 B MT ft 4/5; 2026-09-02 MNR 4f 51.80 B MT ft 13/17 · barn: same as lastfClm4000n1x → Clm 4000n1xSPIESS SHANE Mfield
5COIN PURSEWEATHERLY BAILEY3.5STag dropSame trip2026-02-03 WRD 4f 49.60 H MT ft 11/35; 2026-01-21 WRD 3f 39.40 H MT ft 4/4 · barn: same as lastfClm7500 → Clm 4000n1xBROWN JOHN Tfield
2STOLEN KISSESATHERTON JONATHON R4.5SSame trip2026-06-16 MNR 4f 50.40 B MT ft 16/29; 2026-06-09 MNR 3f 39.80 B MT ft 5/5 · barn: same as lastfClm3200n2x → Clm 4000n1xBROWN JOHN Tfield
1YEARS AGOTAPARA BRANDON8.0P3rd start cycleSame trip2026-08-01 MNR 4f 51.20 B MT ft 8/8; 2026-06-14 MNR 4f 50.40 B MT ft 9/17 · barn: same as lastfOC10000 → Clm 4000n1xROTUNNO SYDNEY Rfield
3SONADORLEON JOSE A10.0CSame trip2026-04-28 MNR 4f 52.80 B D MT sl 9/10; 2026-04-18 MNR 3f 38.00 B MT ft 4/9 · barn: same as lastfClm4000b → Clm 4000n1xSTANOSZEK SARAfield
4ICE FLOEGONZALEZ KEVIN15.0P2nd off layoffSame trip2026-08-24 MNR 4f 48.20 B MT ft 2/7; 2026-04-21 MNR 4f 50.20 B MT ft 13/16 · barn: same as lastfClm3200b → Clm 4000n1xCLULEY DENNISfield

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

PLAY passPass — no tote needed
  1. RACEMNR R4 · 2026-09-30 · D / 1210y / Clm 4000n1x
  2. SHAPELone speed #7 GIRL BYE controls from post 7; Scenario A is hers unchallenged; closers need a melt that the map does not project
  3. CHALKFavorite#7 GIRL BYE ML 2.5 · solid · top fig (68 vs field), lone EP, clear A-scenario path, rising-fig cycle
  4. LEANWinner call#7 GIRL BYE · lone speed, best fig, clean pace map in her favor
  5. PRIMEDnone
  6. PRICEno non-chalk overlay
  7. PLAYPrice ticketPASS — only overlay is the chalk
  8. KILLa hidden presser pressing from outside forces a duel (Scenario B); post-7 wide break on a short run to the turn burns early; bias raw shows closer/inside lean, which is mildly against a wide EP
  9. MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition update, rider changes

Why

Dirt sprint claiming at MNR, 1210y, CLM 4000n1x, field of 7 — moderate volatility given cheap class, a lone-speed chalk, and several cold figures in the field. #7 GIRL BYE is the lone EP from post 7 with top figs (last 68, well clear of the field) and controls a clean pace map in Scenario A; she's the chalk at 2.5 and the model has her as the only overlay in the race. No non-chalk horse clears two ready flags plus a live pace path — the sheet returns no primed price horse and no non-chalk overlay.

```
```

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

Sign in to stamp the board

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Sign in to stamp a board print

Full field

#HorseML Mkt% Model% Edge Signal StyleSheet Result
7GIRL BYE2.523.7%32.8%+9.1%1.59EPfavoriteRising figsTop last figTop last paceSame trip—
6SECRET SEDUCTION3.020.8%18.7%-2.1%-0.13SSame trip—
5COIN PURSE3.518.5%15.2%-3.2%-0.47STag dropSame trip—
2STOLEN KISSES4.515.1%14.4%-0.7%0.09SSame trip—
1YEARS AGO8.09.2%9.1%-0.1%0.24P3rd start cycleSame trip—
3SONADOR10.07.5%5.3%-2.3%-1.13CSame trip—
4ICE FLOE15.05.2%4.6%-0.6%-0.19P2nd off layoffSame trip—