FP R5 · 2026-10-06
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find FP R5 · 2026-10-06 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Lone speed #7 FIRE BRYAN
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#1BATTLE CRUISERS
- C2#3LEMON DROP SHOTC
- C3#7FIRE BRYANEP
- C4#2JUSTICEONEMORETIMES
- C5#6TWO HEARTEDC
- C6#5CODE RUNNERC
- C7#4NIP N TUCKS
#7 FIRE BRYAN controls. Closers need a melt that does not come.
Helps #7 FIRE BRYAN · hurts #1 BATTLE CRUISER, #3 LEMON DROP SHOT, #2 JUSTICEONEMORETIME, #6 TWO HEARTED, #5 CODE RUNNER, #4 NIP N TUCK
Someone presses #7 FIRE BRYAN. Soft-lead thesis dies.
Helps #1 BATTLE CRUISER, #2 JUSTICEONEMORETIME, #4 NIP N TUCK · hurts #7 FIRE BRYAN
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#1 BATTLE CRUISER, #3 LEMON DROP SHOT, #2 JUSTICEONEMORETIME, #6 TWO HEARTED, #5 CODE RUNNER, #4 NIP N TUCK).
Helps #1 BATTLE CRUISER, #3 LEMON DROP SHOT, #2 JUSTICEONEMORETIME, #6 TWO HEARTED, #5 CODE RUNNER, #4 NIP N TUCK · hurts #7 FIRE BRYAN
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FIRE BRYANBAIRD E T | 1.2 | EP | Led lastTop last figSame trip2026-07-29 FP 4f 48.00 B MT ft 2/27; 2026-05-08 FP 4f 48.20 B MT ft 3/26 · barn: same as last | Alw5000s → Alw 5000s | BAHENA FERNANDO | Favorite |
| 5 | CODE RUNNERBENDEZU ALEXANDER | 3.0 | C | Same trip2026-07-08 HAW 4f 49.80 B MT ft 16/25; 2026-04-06 HAW 4f 50.40 B MT ft 20/32 · barn: same as last | Alw5000s → Alw 5000s | RODRIGUEZ HUGO | field |
| 6 | TWO HEARTEDFELIX J E | 3.5 | C | Rising figsSame trip2026-08-05 FP 3f 39.00 B MT ft 9/11; 2026-04-09 FP 4f 53.20 B MT ft 20/20 · barn: same as last | Alw5000s → Alw 5000s | SANDROWSKI GENE J | field |
| 3 | LEMON DROP SHOTMARTINEZ BRODY | 8.0 | C | Trouble lastTop last paceSame trip2026-06-16 FP 4f 50.00 B MT ft 13/15; 2026-06-06 FP 4f 49.00 B MT ft 2/24 · barn: same as last | Clm4000n1y → Alw 5000s | MARTINEZ RALPH A | field |
| 4 | NIP N TUCKTAVARES JAVIER | 10.0 | S | Rising figsSame trip2026-02-07 TP 4f 50.60 B MT ft 43/77; 2026-01-10 TP 5f 62.00 B MT ft 19/35 · barn: same as last | Alw5000s → Alw 5000s | REDNOUR JOHN JR | field |
| 2 | JUSTICEONEMORETIMEDIEGO JAVIER | 9.0 | S | Same trip2026-04-25 FP 4f 50.80 B MT ft 12/15; 2025-08-26 FP 4f 49.80 B MT ft 4/18 · barn: same as last | sEmpireH100k → Alw 5000s | THURMAN RHONDA | field |
| 1 | BATTLE CRUISERARRIETA REYNIER | 30.0 | S | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip2026-08-30 PRM 4f 50.60 B MT ft 7/9; 2026-08-06 PRM 4f 49.00 Hg MT ft 7/7 · barn: same as last | Clm5000 → Alw 5000s | PERKINSON CC | primed |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEFP R5 · 2026-10-06 · Dirt 3080y · Alw 5000s
- SHAPELone speed #7 FIRE BRYAN controls wire to wire; closers have no duel to exploit
- CHALKFavorite#7 FIRE BRYAN 1.2 · solid · top fig, lone speed, same trip, clean cycle
- LEANWinner call#7 FIRE BRYAN · winner call
- PRIMED#1 BATTLE CRUISER (rising figs, third-start cycle) — path exists only in B/C, class up from claiming, model edge negative
- PRICEnone — no non-chalk overlays in the field
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLA presser emerges and hooks FIRE BRYAN through a duel; BATTLE CRUISER finds a ground-saving rail trip if the pace collapses
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition, rider changes
Why
Dirt route at FP, Allowance $5,000, seven starters — moderate volatility given the lone-speed shape and a class-climbing closer. #7 FIRE BRYAN is lone speed and unchallenged chalk at 1.2, with the top last figure and a clean trip to repeat; the closers need a melt that isn't coming. #1 BATTLE CRUISER is the ingested primed horse (rising figs, third-start cycle) but sits at a class-up from claiming, carries negative model edge, and its path in Scenario A is buried at the rail behind the speed.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FIRE BRYAN | 1.2 | 36.0% | 36.9% | +0.9% | 0.40 | EP | favoriteLed lastTop last figSame trip | — |
| 5 | CODE RUNNER | 3.0 | 19.8% | 21.1% | +1.3% | 0.56 | C | Same trip | — |
| 6 | TWO HEARTED | 3.5 | 17.6% | 19.3% | +1.6% | 0.66 | C | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 3 | LEMON DROP SHOT | 8.0 | 8.8% | 8.9% | +0.0% | 0.33 | C | Trouble lastTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 4 | NIP N TUCK | 10.0 | 7.2% | 6.1% | -1.1% | -0.34 | S | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 2 | JUSTICEONEMORETIME | 9.0 | 7.9% | 5.6% | -2.3% | -1.07 | S | Same trip | — |
| 1 | BATTLE CRUISER | 30.0 | 2.6% | 2.1% | -0.5% | -0.54 | S | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip | — |