ASD R6 · 2026-09-29
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find ASD R6 · 2026-09-29 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#3 #6 #2)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#3HAUTE CHARLOTTEE
- C2#6APPLE FESTEP
- C3#2COUNTING ON YOUEP
- C4#4CASUALLY CLASSYP
- C5#5MINI GLAZED DONUTS
- C6#1BOUJEE BRITCHESC
- C7#7NEYTIRIC
Honest pace among #3 HAUTE CHARLOTTE and #6 APPLE FEST and #2 COUNTING ON YOU. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #4 CASUALLY CLASSY, #5 MINI GLAZED DONUT · hurts #3 HAUTE CHARLOTTE, #6 APPLE FEST, #2 COUNTING ON YOU
Pressure: #3 HAUTE CHARLOTTE and #6 APPLE FEST and #2 COUNTING ON YOU hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #4 CASUALLY CLASSY, #5 MINI GLAZED DONUT · hurts #3 HAUTE CHARLOTTE, #6 APPLE FEST, #2 COUNTING ON YOU
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#5 MINI GLAZED DONUT, #1 BOUJEE BRITCHES, #7 NEYTIRI).
Helps #5 MINI GLAZED DONUT, #1 BOUJEE BRITCHES, #7 NEYTIRI · hurts #3 HAUTE CHARLOTTE, #6 APPLE FEST, #2 COUNTING ON YOU
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | COUNTING ON YOUKHELAWAN KERRON | 2.0 | EP | Rising figsTop last figSame trip2026-08-04 ASD 4f 50.20 B MT ft 8/13; 2026-07-29 ASD 4f 49.00 B MT ft bullet 1/6 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n3l → Clm 5000n3l | BROWN JARED | Favorite |
| 1 | BOUJEE BRITCHESBALROOP SVEN | 2.5 | C | Rising figsTag dropBarn changeSame trip2026-08-17 ASD 3f 38.00 B MT ft 4/8; 2026-07-07 ASD 4f 47.00 B MT ft bullet 1/7 · barn: change vs ANDERSON WENDY | fClm7500n2lc → Clm 5000n3l | DICKEY ELTON | Favorite |
| 6 | APPLE FESTKNIGHTS RACHAAD | 3.0 | EP | Led lastTop last paceSame trip2026-07-22 ASD 3f 38.20 B MT ft 4/7; 2026-06-18 ASD 4f 50.60 B MT ft 3/3 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n3l → Clm 5000n3l | HRYMAK BRENT | field |
| 7 | NEYTIRIWHITEHALL ANTONIO | 5.0 | C | Same trip2026-09-16 ASD 3f 38.60 B MT ft 2/3; 2026-05-13 ASD 4f 51.20 B MT ft 21/28 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n3l → Clm 5000n3l | PRUITT LISE | field |
| 4 | CASUALLY CLASSYTOWNSEND SHAVON | 10.0 | P | Rising figsSame trip2026-07-01 ASD 4f 50.20 B MT ft 10/21; 2026-05-05 ASD 4f 52.60 H MT ft 38/43 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n3l → Clm 5000n3l | PRUITT LISE | field |
| 3 | HAUTE CHARLOTTESTEPHENSON NEVILLE | 20.0 | E | Sharp workSame trip2026-09-23 ASD 3f 36.80 B MT ft 1/3; 2026-09-01 ASD 3f 37.00 H MT ft bullet 1/4 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n3l → Clm 5000n3l | SANDERSON BRUCE | field |
| 5 | MINI GLAZED DONUTBYNOE DAMARIO | 20.0 | S | Tag dropSame trip2026-09-22 ASD 4f 51.80 B MT ft 4/4; 2026-09-09 ASD 3f 39.60 B MT ft 11/11 · barn: same as last | fClm7500n3l → Clm 5000n3l | HUSBANDS TIFFANY | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEASD R6 · 2026-09-29 · Dirt 1210y · Clm 5000n3l
- SHAPEWall of early/pressers (#3 #6 #2) creates an honest-to-burning pace; stalkers and closers inherit in Scenario B/C — duel likely, speed in danger
- CHALKFavorite#2 COUNTING ON YOU (2-1) · solid form, top fig (70), rising cycle, inside post, bias-friendly — but it IS the chalk; model overlay irrelevant to PLAY
- LEANWinner call#2 COUNTING ON YOU · best fig in the field, inside post into a speed bias, rising figs signal (66→70), well-placed style in a pace duel if it can rate
- PRIMEDnone (no non-chalk horse reaches 2+ actionable flags plus a clean A/B path)
- PRICEno price (no non-chalk overlay clears the threshold)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILL#2 gets hooked in the duel from post 2 and empties — then #4 CASUALLY CLASSY (advancing inside last out, rising fig 57→68, Pruitt barn with solid TJ ROI 1.68) becomes a live heir, but not at 10-1 ML with one clear flag and no overlay confirmation
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition day-of, rider changes post-ingest
Why
Dirt sprint, $5,000 claiming (N3L), seven mares at Assiniboia — moderate-to-high volatility given a wall of early speed cramming posts 2-3-6 into a tight first turn. Three need-the-lead or early-pressure types (#3 HAUTE CHARLOTTE, #6 APPLE FEST, #2 COUNTING ON YOU) set up a genuine pace duel; dual chalks (#2 at 2-1, #1 at 5-2) split the public money, and the model edges #2 as the slight overlay but doctrine bars it as chalk. No horse clears the 2+ flag / path threshold for a primed price play — the desk rec is already PASS. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | COUNTING ON YOU | 2.0 | 27.3% | 32.2% | +4.9% | 1.00 | EP | favoriteRising figsTop last figSame trip | — |
| 1 | BOUJEE BRITCHES | 2.5 | 23.4% | 21.3% | -2.1% | -0.03 | C | favoriteRising figsTag dropBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 6 | APPLE FEST | 3.0 | 20.5% | 21.3% | +0.8% | 0.50 | EP | Led lastTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 7 | NEYTIRI | 5.0 | 13.6% | 12.2% | -1.5% | -0.11 | C | Same trip | — |
| 4 | CASUALLY CLASSY | 10.0 | 7.4% | 7.3% | -0.2% | 0.25 | P | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 3 | HAUTE CHARLOTTE | 20.0 | 3.9% | 3.1% | -0.8% | -0.62 | E | Sharp workSame trip | — |
| 5 | MINI GLAZED DONUT | 20.0 | 3.9% | 2.8% | -1.1% | -0.99 | S | Tag dropSame trip | — |