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LS R6 · 2026-10-10
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Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find LS R6 · 2026-10-10 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Pace unknown — not enough call1/e1
Pressure unknown. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#8NAVAJO STONEUU
- C2#4JMG OAK DULCEUU
- C3#12IRISH LANCERUU
- C4#5JESS A FLYING COWBOYUU
- C5#2EL CHATOUU
- C6#6EE DISCO QUICKIEUU
- C7#11PILATUSUU
- C8#9MY SPECIAL BLOODUU
- C9#3JUSTLEAVEMEUU
- C10#10TAC IT OR LEAVE ITUU
- C11#1GASSITUU
- C12#7MISTER APOALIBIUU
A · Likely — expected flow
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps — · hurts —
B · Pressure — duel / honest
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps — · hurts —
C · Chaos — collapse
Chaos: the map fails and the race becomes a scramble. No dedicated closer on the file.
Helps — · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | NAVAJO STONERIVERA ALI | 1.6 | U | Same trip2026-06-12 ALB 1f 12.20 H MT ft 14/32; 2026-04-24 RP 1f 12.80 Hg MT ft 2/9 · barn: same as last | AllAmerJuv200k → Md Sp Wt | STINEBAUGH JOHN A | Favorite |
| 4 | JMG OAK DULCEURIETA VICTOR MANUEL JR | 2.0 | U | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip2026-03-14 LAD 1f 13.40 Bg MT ft 34/40; 2026-02-27 LAD 1f 13.40 Bg MT ft 51/52 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | RODRIGUEZ RAUL JR | Favorite |
| 12 | IRISH LANCERCALDERON FRANCISCO | 6.0 | U | Barn changeSame trip2026-09-22 LS 1f 13.00 B MT ft 15/19; 2026-07-17 ALB 1f 12.20 Hg MT ft 21/41 · barn: change vs VALLES RODOLFO G | FutTrl10000 → Md Sp Wt | GONZALES JAMES JULIAN II | field |
| 5 | JESS A FLYING COWBOYPINA GARCIA ROSENDO E | 8.0 | U | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-04 LS 1f 13.00 B MT ft 26/32; 2026-04-03 DED 1f 12.40 B MT ft 12/35 · barn: same as last | MdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | GARCIA WENDY ALEJANDRA | primed |
| 2 | EL CHATOVIVANCO LUIS L | 10.0 | U | Rising figs3rd start cycleTop last figSame trip2026-03-20 RET 1f 13.00 B MT ft 12/13; 2026-03-11 RET 1.1f 13.80 Hg MT wf 40/84 · barn: same as last | Stk 40.5000k → Md Sp Wt | RUBIO JORGE E | primed |
| 6 | EE DISCO QUICKIEDURAN NESTOR | 15.0 | U | Rising figsSame trip2026-04-17 RDE 1f 13.00 B MT ft 9/9; 2026-04-10 RP 1f 12.60 Hg MT ft 6/37 · barn: same as last | MdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | HUITRON LIRA JESUS | field |
| 11 | PILATUSMARTINEZ OLIVER E | 15.0 | U | Barn changeSame trip2026-09-29 LS 1f 12.00 B MT ft 5/19; 2026-07-12 ALB 1f 12.00 Hg MT ft 5/31 · barn: change vs FLORES MARCO A | FutTrl10000 → Md Sp Wt | RAMIREZ RAUL | field |
| 9 | MY SPECIAL BLOODDELGADO MARIO | 15.0 | U | Same trip2026-09-03 LS 1.5f 17.60 B MT ft 2/6; 2026-07-18 ALB 1f 12.00 Hg MT ft 32/57 · barn: same as last | FutTrl10000 → Md Sp Wt | JOINER JUSTIN W | field |
| 3 | JUSTLEAVEMERAMIREZ JR JR | 15.0 | U | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-12 LS 1f 12.40 Bg MT ft 31/57; 2026-09-01 LS 1f 13.20 Bg MT ft 25/28 · barn: same as last | fMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | COX SHAE L | field |
| 10 | TAC IT OR LEAVE ITGILES FRANCISCO | 15.0 | U | Trouble lastSame trip2026-07-21 RET 1f 12.20 Bg MT ft 14/28; 2026-04-23 HOU 1f 13.00 Bg MT ft 12/20 · barn: same as last | MdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | BOLEN BRADLEY | field |
| 1 | GASSITPULIDO JUAN | 15.0 | U | Trouble lastSame trip2026-09-01 RP 1f 13.00 Hg MT ft 22/25; 2026-08-07 DRT 1f 12.40 Hg MT ft 3/9 · barn: same as last | FutTrl10000 → Md Sp Wt | REED KASH | field |
| 7 | MISTER APOALIBIPEREZ FRANCISCO ESCALERA | 20.0 | U | —2026-09-06 LAD 1f 12.20 B MT ft bullet 1/4; 2026-08-25 LAD 1f 13.60 Bg MT ft 1/1 · barn: CHAVIRA ANIREAL (no last-line barn) | — → Md Sp Wt | CHAVIRA ANIREAL | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
PLAY passPass — no tote needed
- RACELS R6 · 2026-10-10 · D / 400y / Md Sp Wt
- SHAPEAll styles unknown; bias crushes outside posts; lone-speed or chaos map likely in a 12-horse maiden sprint
- CHALKFavorite#8 NAVAJO STONE (ML 1.6) — opposable; post 8 is a graveyard in this bias window (6.7% winners from posts 8+), last fig dropped to 86 after a 94, and the barn TJ ROI is -0.96
- LEANWinner call#2 EL CHATO — top fig in field (88), third-start cycle, post 2 slots straight into the rail bias
- PRIMED#2 EL CHATO (rising figs, 3rd start cycle, top last fig, inside post), #5 JESS A FLYING COWBOY (rising figs, 2nd off layoff — but post 5 is neutral and model edge is negligible)
- PRICEnone — no non-chalk overlays; model edge on EL CHATO is +0.004, not a declared overlay
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — the sheet rec is PASS, no price overlays exist, and the only strongly primed horse with a path is not declared an overlay at this morning line
- KILLRail bias does not hold on the day; an unknown E type from an outside post clears and wire-to-wires; EL CHATO's 88 came in a stakes drop that may flatter
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition at post, rider changes after ingest
Why
400-yard dirt maiden sprint at LS with 12 runners is a high-volatility quarter-horse dash where all pace styles are unknown and the bias strongly favors inside posts (60% of winners from posts 1–3, 6.7% from posts 8+). Shape is completely opaque with all 12 horses coded U, but the rail bias makes post position a dominant factor and both chalks draw outside (post 8 and post 4). #2 EL CHATO carries the most impressive ready profile — rising figs (88 vs prior 64), third start of the cycle, top last fig in the field, and critically draws post 2 directly into the inside-rail bias, giving it the clearest A-scenario path of any non-chalk in the race.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
#5 JESS A FLYING COWBOYML 8.0Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip
#2 EL CHATOML 10.0Rising figs3rd start cycleTop last figSame trip
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | NAVAJO STONE | 1.6 | 25.9% | 28.5% | +2.6% | 0.72 | U | favoriteSame trip | — |
| 4 | JMG OAK DULCE | 2.0 | 22.4% | 24.1% | +1.7% | 0.62 | U | favoriteRising figs2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 12 | IRISH LANCER | 6.0 | 9.6% | 9.1% | -0.5% | 0.11 | U | Barn changeSame trip | — |
| 5 | JESS A FLYING COWBOY | 8.0 | 7.5% | 7.7% | +0.2% | 0.45 | U | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 2 | EL CHATO | 10.0 | 6.1% | 6.5% | +0.4% | 0.58 | U | Rising figs3rd start cycleTop last figSame trip | — |
| 6 | EE DISCO QUICKIE | 15.0 | 4.2% | 4.3% | +0.1% | 0.39 | U | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 11 | PILATUS | 15.0 | 4.2% | 3.7% | -0.5% | -0.14 | U | Barn changeSame trip | — |
| 9 | MY SPECIAL BLOOD | 15.0 | 4.2% | 3.5% | -0.7% | -0.36 | U | Same trip | — |
| 3 | JUSTLEAVEME | 15.0 | 4.2% | 3.5% | -0.7% | -0.42 | U | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 10 | TAC IT OR LEAVE IT | 15.0 | 4.2% | 3.1% | -1.1% | -0.91 | U | Trouble lastSame trip | — |
| 1 | GASSIT | 15.0 | 4.2% | 3.0% | -1.2% | -1.05 | U | Trouble lastSame trip | — |
| 7 | MISTER APOALIBI | 20.0 | 3.2% | 2.9% | -0.3% | -0.00 | U | — |